Updated on 2026/03/07

写真a

 
YAMAMURA YOSHIRO
 
Organization
Professional Graduate School Graduate School of Global Business Professor
Title
Professor
Other name(s)
Yamamura Yoshiro
External link

Degree

  • PhD in Engineering ( 1996.3   Tokyo Institute of Technology )

  • Master of Engineering ( 1993.3   Tokyo Institute of Technology )

Research Interests

  • Real Estate Analysis

  • Real Estate Analysis

  • Urban Economics

Research Areas

  • Humanities & social sciences / Money and finance  / ファイナンス

  • Humanities & social sciences / Economic policy  / 都市経済学

Education

  • Tokyo Institute of Technology   Graduate School, Division of Science and Engineering   Social Engineering

    1993.4 - 1996.3

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    Country/Region: Japan

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  • Tokyo Institute of Technology   Graduate School, Division of Integrated Science and Engineering

    1991.4 - 1993.3

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    Country/Region: Japan

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  • Tokyo Institute of Technology   Faculty of Engineering   Department of Social Engineering

    1987.4 - 1991.3

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    Country/Region: Japan

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Research History

  • Meiji University   Graduate School of Global Business   Professor

    2012.4

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    Country/Region:Japan

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  • Meiji University   Graduate School of Global Business   Associate Professor

    2004.4 - 2012.3

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    Country/Region:Japan

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  • University of Cambridge   Department of Land Economy   Visiting Scholar

    2002.8 - 2003.8

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  • Kagawa University   Faculty of Economics   Associate Professor

    1997.6 - 2004.3

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  • Kagawa University   Faculty of Economics   Lecturer

    1996.4 - 1997.5

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  • JDPS   Special researcher of the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science

    1993.4 - 1996.3

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Professional Memberships

  • 日本統計学会

    2012

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  • Japanese Association of Financial Econometrics and Engineering

    2010.1

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  • 日本価値創造ERM学会

    2006

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  • Amerian Real Estate and Urban Economics Association

    2000.1

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  • 日本不動産学会

    1993.4

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Committee Memberships

  • 日本不動産学会   理事  

    2022.6   

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    Committee type:Academic society

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  • 文部科学省大学設置・学校法人審議会 大学設置分科会   専門委員会委員  

    2020 - 2022   

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    Committee type:Government

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  • 文部科学省経営系大学院機能強化検討協力者会議   委員  

    2018.1 - 2018.7   

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    Committee type:Government

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  • 国土交通省「ヘドニックアプローチによる不動産価格推計に関する研究会」   委員  

    2002 - 2004   

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  • 高松市「都市計画審議会」   委員  

    2001.4 - 2004.3   

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  • 財務省四国財務局「財務行政モニター」   委員  

    2000.8 - 2002.7   

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    Committee type:Government

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  •   財務省四国財務局「財務行政モニター」  

    2000.8 - 2002.7   

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  • 日本不動産学会   学術委員会委員  

    2000 - 2012   

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    Committee type:Academic society

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Papers

  • Commercial Real Estate Indices in Tokyo CBD Reviewed

    Yoshiro Yamamura

    Memoirs of Institute of Social Sciences, Meiji University   59 ( 1 )   129 - 163   2021

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    Authorship:Lead author   Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Institute of Social Sciences, Meiji University  

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    Other Link: http://id.ndl.go.jp/bib/032088798

  • Tenant Portfolio Selection for Managing a Shopping Center Reviewed International journal

    International Real Estate Review   26 ( 2 )   143 - 171   2023

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    Authorship:Corresponding author   Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Asian Real Estate Society  

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  • Empirical Credit Risk Ratings of Individual Corporate Bonds and Derivation of Term Structures of Default Probabilities Reviewed International journal

    Kariya Takeaki, Yoshiro Yamamura and Koji Inui

    Journal of Risk and Financial Management   12 ( 124 )   1 - 29   2019.7

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:MDPI  

    DOI: 10.3390/jrfm12030124

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  • Significance of Crowdfunding in Urban & Regional Revitalization and Real Estate Market Invited

    Yoshiro Yamamura

    Journal of Japan Association of Real Estate Sciences   32 ( 4 )   81 - 87   2019.3

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    Authorship:Lead author   Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Japan Association of Real Estate Sciences  

    DOI: 10.5736/jares.32.4_81

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    Other Link: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I029635251

  • Optimal Timing of Real Estate Development and Business Cycle Reviewed

    Memoirs of the Institute of Social Sciences, Meiji University   56 ( 2 )   67 - 82   2018.3

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:Institute of Social Sciences, Meiji University  

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    Other Link: https://ndlsearch.ndl.go.jp/books/R000000004-I029574101

  • Measuring Credit Risk of Individual Corporate Bonds in US Energy Sector Reviewed

    Takeaki Kariya, Yoko Tanokura, Hideyuki Takada, Yoshiro Yamamura

    Asia-Pacific Financial Markets   23 ( 3 )   229 - 262   2016.9

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1007/s10690-016-9217-7

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  • A Dynamic Bond Pricing Model with Application to the Japanese Government Bonds

    Kamizono Kenji, Kariya Takeaki, Yamamura Yoshiro

    長崎大学経済学部研究年報 = Annual review of economics   32   57 - 69   2016.6

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    Language:English   Publisher:長崎大学経済学部  

    In this paper, we generalize the cross-sectional fixed-coupon bond pricing model of Kariya et. al.(2012) to a dynamic one. The bond prices are modeled as the present values of the future cash-flows where the discount functions are stochastic and may depend on the bond attributes. In our framework, the cross-sectional and time-series covariance structure among the stochastic discount functions depends on the difference of the time-to-maturity of the bonds. We also propose a bond price forecast method using our model. The empirical result and the forecast performance on the Japanese government bonds are presented.

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  • Empirically effective bond pricing model for USGBs and analysis on term structures of implied interest rates in financial crisis Reviewed

    Takeaki Kariya, Yoshiro Yamamura, Zhu Wang

    COMMUNICATIONS IN STATISTICS-THEORY AND METHODS   45 ( 6 )   1580 - 1606   2016

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1080/03610926.2014.901377

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  • Credit Risk Analysis on Euro Government Bonds-Term Structures of Default Probabilities Reviewed

    Takeaki Kariya, Yoshiro Yamamura, Yoko Tanokura, Zhu Wang

    Asia-Pacific Financial Markets   22 ( 4 )   397 - 427   2015.11

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1007/s10690-015-9202-6

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  • REA-TOKYO不動産インデックスの開発 Invited

    金井浩之, 久保田寛容, 桑原誠二

    (社)東京都不動産鑑定士協会「共同研究シリーズ」Ⅱ-3   Ⅱ-3   1 - 30   2015.4

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

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  • A Transaction-Based Capitalization Rates and Sample Selection Bias

    山村 能郎

    明治大学社会科学研究所紀要   52 ( 1 )   193 - 208   2013.10

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    Language:Japanese   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:明治大学社会科学研究所  

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  • Empirically Effective Bond Pricing Model and Analysis on Term Structures of Implied Interest Rates in Financial Crisis

    Takeaki Kariya, Jingsui Wang, Zhu Wang, Eiichi Doi, Yoshiro Yamamura

    Asia-Pacific Financial Markets   19 ( 3 )   259 - 292   2012.9

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    Language:English   Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)  

    DOI: 10.1007/s10690-011-9149-1

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  • TAREAインデックスの開発-業務用不動産インデックスの開発-

    杉浦綾子他4名

    (社)東京都不動産鑑定士協会「共同研究シリーズ」   II-2 ( Ⅱ-1 )   1 - 54   2011.3

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  • Commercial Land Price Indices with Varying-Parameter Approach

    Yamamura Yoshiro

    MBS review   ( 7 )   51 - 70   2011.3

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    Language:English   Publisher:明治大学大学院グローバル・ビジネス研究科  

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  • Can Physical Distance Explain the Repercussions of Land Price Changes Over Time and Space? : An Examination of the Japanese Bubble in the Late 1980s

    Yamamura Yoshiro

    MBS review   ( 7 )   29 - 50   2011.3

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    Language:English   Publisher:明治大学大学院グローバル・ビジネス研究科  

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  • 平成19年度秋季全国大会学術講演会報告

    原科 幸彦, 岸井 隆幸, 山村 能郎, 北詰 恵一, 西嶋 淳, 中城 康彦, 阪本 一郎, 宅間 文夫, 寺尾 仁, 駒井 正晶, 齊藤 広子

    日本不動産学会誌   21 ( 3 )   68 - 76   2008

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:Japan Association for Real Estate Sciences  

    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.21.3_68

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  • 収益から見た無形資産投資のNPVと規模の経済性に関する考察

    明治大学大学院共同研究報告書   ( 3 )   112-122   2007.3

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  • 平成18年度秋季全国大会学術講演会報告

    室田 昌子, 倉橋 透, 宅間 文夫, 寺尾 仁, 三橋 博巳, 西嶋 淳, 中城 康彦, 山村 能郎

    日本不動産学会誌   20 ( 3 )   55 - 59   2007

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:Japan Association for Real Estate Sciences  

    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.20.3_55

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    Other Link: https://jlc.jst.go.jp/DN/JALC/00385824680?from=CiNii

  • The Difference between the Appraisal Price and the Actual Price in Land

    Yamamura Yoshiro

    The Japanese Journal of Real Estate Sciences   19 ( 4 )   24 - 32   2006

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    Publishing type:Research paper (scientific journal)   Publisher:日本不動産学会誌  

    This study discusses the differences between the appraisal price of land and the land price estimated by actual transaction. A hedonic approach is employed for estimating actual price at the appraisal land at Setagaya City in 2002. It is shown that there exists the differences among those prices. However, it is also found that our hedonic model might omit variables which explain land prices, and that the distributions of the attributes of appraisal data might be different from those of transaction data.

    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.19.4_24

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  • Transaction-Based Land Price Indices for Commercial and Office Land during the Bubble Economy in Japan

    Yamamura Yoshiro

    The Kagawa University economic review   76 ( 3 )   709 - 734   2003.12

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    Language:English   Publisher:香川大学  

    This study discusses the actual time-series pattern in commercial and office land prices during a bubble period in Tokyo Central Business District in the late 1980's to early 1990's, a period described as Japanese bubble. A varying-parameter approach, which allows the implicit prices to vary intertemporally in relation to the attributes, is employed for constructing a transaction-based price index. Forward extensions of a conventional hedonic index require that parameters of a hedonic model are newly estimated at every extension, using a new data set in which the latest available transaction information is added into an existing data set. These extensions imply that the existing values of the index might vary because hedonic estimators, especially those of time dummy variables, can change. Moreover, a price index that keeps the implicit prices fixed may be biased since implicit prices can be unstable when land values fluctuate sharply as in a bubble period. This study is, therefore, an examination of the reliability of indices based on respective approaches and an investigation of the movement of implicit prices over a specific time period. Transaction-based price indices within the Tokyo CBD are developed for the period from 1981 to 1992. It is shown that the bubble began to form in early 1984 and that the initial collapse began in 1989. Both of these dates are much earlier than the times observed in the appraisal land price index. Furthermore, our results indicate that implicit prices vary over time and provide evidence of the usefulness and reliability of the varying parameter approach when a market is experiencing the effects of a bubble economy.

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  • Transaction-Based Land Price Indices for Commercial and Office Land During the Bubble Period in Japan Reviewed

    Yoshiro Yamamura and Noboru Hidano

    The 10th European Real Estate Society Conference in Helsinki   1-29   2003

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  • The Japanese Land Price Bubble in the Late 1980s: Facts and Characteristics Found by Hedonic Analysis

    Noboru Hidano

    University of Cambridge Discussion Paper 120, Department of Land Economy   2001.2

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  • 沿岸域の環境改善施策の実施に向けた"費用対効果"の問題に関する一考察

    上月 康則, 山中 英生, 倉田 健悟, 太田 博子, 轟 朝幸, 山村 能郎, 村上 仁士

    土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)   48   1386 - 1390   2001

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:公益社団法人 土木学会  

    DOI: 10.2208/proce1989.48.1386

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  • An Empirical Study on the Land Price Changes in the Residential District of Metroporitan Tokyo

    HIDANO Noboru, YAMAMURA Yoshiro, DOI Yasusuke

    City planning review   49 ( 1 )   56 - 66   2000.4

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:日本都市計画学会  

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  • 瀬戸大橋の整備便益の計測

    井原 健雄, 山村 能郎

    高速道路と自動車   41 ( 3 )   46 - 53   1998.3

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:高速道路調査会  

    資料形態 : テキストデータ プレーンテキスト
    コレクション : 国立国会図書館デジタルコレクション > デジタル化資料 > 雑誌

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  • An Empirical Study on the Land Price Changes in the Residential District of Metroporitan Tokyo

    Yamamura Yoshirou

    The Kagawa University economic review   69 ( 4 )   173 - 191   1997.3

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:香川大学  

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  • 首都圏における農地および林地の地価動向に関する研究

    肥田野 登, 山村 能郎, 増井 潔

    日本不動産学会誌   12 ( 1 )   32 - 42   1997

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    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.12.32

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  • An Empirical Study on the Land Price Changes in the Commercial District of Metropolitan Tokyo

    HIDANO Noboru, YAMAMURA Yoshirou, DOI Yasushi

    Papers on city planning   30   529 - 534   1995.11

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  • ネットワーク自己相関モデルを用いた首都圏における地価動向モデルの構築

    肥田野 登, 山村 能郎, 樋口 洋一郎

    日本不動産学会誌   9 ( 2 )   53 - 63   1994

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    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.9.2_53

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  • Measuring the Effect of Floor Area Ratio Regulation on Land Markets with the Spatial Repercussion of land Price

    Hidano Noboru, Yamamura Yoshiro

    Journal of the City Planning Institute of Japan   27 ( 27 )   p127 - 132   1992.11

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:The City Planning Institute of Japan  

    THE PURPOSE OF THIS STUDY IS TO MESURE THE EFFECT OF THE FLOOR AREA RATIO REGULATION ON LAND MARKET. IN ORDER TO EXPLAIN THE MECHANISM OF CHANGES OF LAND PRICE, WE IDENTIFY THE LAND MARKET SEGMENTATION IN TOKYO METROPOLITAN AREA BASED ON THE SIMILARITY OF LAND PRICE CHANGES DURING 1975 AND 1992 BY CLUSTER ANALYSIS. THEN WE EXPLAIN THE STRUCTURE OF THE SPATIAL REPERCUSSION OF LAND PRICE WITH THE TIME SERIES MODEL.

    DOI: 10.11361/journalcpij.27.127

    DOI: 10.1016/j.jjie.2016.05.002_references_DOI_T4WJYueSmSpjEeDffwg134qBrTW

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  • The Measuring the Benefits of Interregional Transportation Improvement Projects: A Hedonic Approach.:A Hedonic Approach

    HIDANO Noboru, HAYASHIYAMA Yasuhisa, YAMAMURA Yoshiro

    Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshu   1992 ( 449 )   67 - 76   1992

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:公益社団法人 土木学会  

    The purpose of this paper is twofold i. e. to analyse the approximity of the estimation of the social benefits using cross-sectional hedonic model within the context of general equilibriui framework and to constract a multi-regional hedonic land value function in order to establish the method to estimate the social benefits of large infrastructure improvement projects. The study clarifies the limit of over estimation of cross-sectional analysis and demonstrats the applicability of the method with the case study of Tohoku-Shinkansen project.

    DOI: 10.2208/jscej.1992.449_67

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Books

  • Empirically Effective Government and Corporate Bond Pricing Models - Yield Curves and Default Curves Reviewed

    Takeaki Kariya and Yoshiro Yamamura( Role: Joint author ,  Original_author: Takeaki Kariya and Yoshiro Yamamura)

    Springer Nature  2025.5  ( ISBN:9789819611034

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    Total pages:303   Language:English   Book type:Scholarly book

    This book presents a comprehensive, innovative, integrated, and empirically effective system for cross-sectionally analyzing prices of government bonds (GBs) and corporate bonds (CBs) to timely obtain practically useful information on yield curves and default curves. The system consists of (1) GB-pricing model that values coupon GB and gives yield curve, (2) credit risk rating model of each CB, and (3) CB-pricing model that gives default curve or equivalently term structure of default probabilities (TSDP), which prices credit default swap (CDS). And in view of data science, the empirical effectiveness of the modeling concept, formulated models with price correlations, and estimation procedures in the system is verified with monthly data through various applications of the models to practically important analyses on prices of Japanese GBs and CBs, the USA GBs and CBs, and European GBs (EUGBs) where GBs of Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and Greece.

    DOI: 10.1007/978-981-96-1104-1

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  • 「事業の多角化と地域貢献」、明治大学ビジネススクール編『ファミリービジネスMBA講座』、第6章

    ( Role: Sole author)

    同文舘出版  2019.7  ( ISBN:9784495390297

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    Total pages:19   Responsible for pages:102-121   Language:Japanese   Book type:Scholarly book

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  • REA-TOKYO不動産インデックスの開発

    田野倉葉子, 金井浩之他2名( Role: Joint author)

    (一社)東京都不動産鑑定士協会  2017.4 

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    Total pages:54   Responsible for pages:1-54   Language:Japanese  

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  • 商業用不動産施設の戦略的経営 価値創造エンタープライズ・リスクマネジメント(ERM)によるリスク・リターン最適化戦略

    刈屋 武昭, 山村 能郎( Role: Joint author)

    プログレス  2016.2  ( ISBN:4905366534

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    Total pages:229   Language:Japanese   Book type:Scholarly book

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  • Property Markets and Land Policies in Northeast Asia-Land Price Index in Tokyo-

    Noboru Hidano and Yoshiro Yamamura( Role: Joint author)

    Maison Franco-Japonaise and the Univeristy of Hong Kong-  2004 

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    Responsible for pages:83-110   Language:English   Book type:Scholarly book

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  • 四架橋と地域経済:制度分析と整備効果・政策課題

    ( Role: Joint author)

    勁草書房  2003.2  ( ISBN:4326548088

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MISC

  • 8149 戸建空き家の活用に向けた住宅価値創出に関する考察

    星野 将史, 山村 能郎

    建築社会システム   ( 2018 )   297 - 298   2018.7

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:日本建築学会  

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  • A Dynamic Bond Pricing Model with Application to the Japanese Government Bonds

    Kamizono Kenji, Kariya Takeaki, Yamamura Yoshiro

    長崎大学経済学部研究年報 = Annual review of economics   32   57 - 69   2016.6

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    Language:English   Publisher:長崎大学経済学部  

    In this paper, we generalize the cross-sectional fixed-coupon bond pricing model of Kariya et. al.(2012) to a dynamic one. The bond prices are modeled as the present values of the future cash-flows where the discount functions are stochastic and may depend on the bond attributes. In our framework, the cross-sectional and time-series covariance structure among the stochastic discount functions depends on the difference of the time-to-maturity of the bonds. We also propose a bond price forecast method using our model. The empirical result and the forecast performance on the Japanese government bonds are presented.

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  • 【公益社団法人日本不動産学会・春季全国大会シンポジウム】 第2次安倍政権発足以後の不動産市場のキーワードと変化 パネルディスカッション

    オーエン マイケル, 河西 利信, 立松 博史, 山村 能郎, 植松 丘

    日本不動産学会誌   29 ( 2 )   9 - 26   2015

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:公益社団法人 日本不動産学会  

    DOI: 10.5736/jares.29.2_9

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  • A Transaction-Based Capitalization Rates and Sample Selection Bias

    山村 能郎

    明治大学社会科学研究所紀要   52 ( 1 )   193 - 208   2013.10

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:明治大学社会科学研究所  

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  • Empirically Effective Bond Pricing Model and Analysis on Term Structures of Implied Interest Rates in Financial Crisis

    Takeaki Kariya, Jingsui Wang, Zhu Wang, Eiichi Doi, Yoshiro Yamamura

    Asia-Pacific Financial Markets   19 ( 3 )   259 - 292   2012.9

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  • Commercial Land Price Indices with Varying-Parameter Approach

    Yamamura Yoshiro

    MBS review   ( 7 )   51 - 70   2011.3

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    Language:English   Publisher:明治大学大学院グローバル・ビジネス研究科  

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  • Can Physical Distance Explain the Repercussions of Land Price Changes Over Time and Space? : An Examination of the Japanese Bubble in the Late 1980s

    Yamamura Yoshiro

    MBS review   ( 7 )   29 - 50   2011.3

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    Language:English   Publisher:明治大学大学院グローバル・ビジネス研究科  

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  • 平成18年度秋季全国大会学術講演会報告

    室田 昌子, 倉橋 透, 宅間 文夫, 寺尾 仁, 三橋 博巳, 西嶋 淳, 中城 康彦, 山村 能郎

    日本不動産学会誌   20 ( 3 )   55 - 59   2007

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:日本不動産学会誌  

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  • The Difference between the Appraisal Price and the Actual Price in Land

    Yamamura Yoshiro

    The Japanese Journal of Real Estate Sciences   19 ( 4 )   24 - 32   2006

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    Publisher:日本不動産学会誌  

    This study discusses the differences between the appraisal price of land and the land price estimated by actual transaction. A hedonic approach is employed for estimating actual price at the appraisal land at Setagaya City in 2002. It is shown that there exists the differences among those prices. However, it is also found that our hedonic model might omit variables which explain land prices, and that the distributions of the attributes of appraisal data might be different from those of transaction data.

    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.19.4_24

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  • Transaction-Based Land Price Indices for Commercial and Office Land during the Bubble Economy in Japan

    Yamamura Yoshiro

    The Kagawa University economic review   76 ( 3 )   709 - 734   2003.12

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    This study discusses the actual time-series pattern in commercial and office land prices during a bubble period in Tokyo Central Business District in the late 1980's to early 1990's, a period described as Japanese bubble. A varying-parameter approach, which allows the implicit prices to vary intertemporally in relation to the attributes, is employed for constructing a transaction-based price index. Forward extensions of a conventional hedonic index require that parameters of a hedonic model are newly estimated at every extension, using a new data set in which the latest available transaction information is added into an existing data set. These extensions imply that the existing values of the index might vary because hedonic estimators, especially those of time dummy variables, can change. Moreover, a price index that keeps the implicit prices fixed may be biased since implicit prices can be unstable when land values fluctuate sharply as in a bubble period. This study is, therefore, an examination of the reliability of indices based on respective approaches and an investigation of the movement of implicit prices over a specific time period. Transaction-based price indices within the Tokyo CBD are developed for the period from 1981 to 1992. It is shown that the bubble began to form in early 1984 and that the initial collapse began in 1989. Both of these dates are much earlier than the times observed in the appraisal land price index. Furthermore, our results indicate that implicit prices vary over time and provide evidence of the usefulness and reliability of the varying parameter approach when a market is experiencing the effects of a bubble economy.

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  • 沿岸域の環境改善施策の実施に向けた"費用対効果"の問題に関する一考察

    上月 康則, 山中 英生, 倉田 健悟, 太田 博子, 轟 朝幸, 山村 能郎, 村上 仁士

    土木学会論文集B2(海岸工学)   48   1386 - 1390   2001

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    Language:Japanese   Publisher:公益社団法人 土木学会  

    DOI: 10.2208/proce1989.48.1386

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  • An Empirical Study on the Land Price Changes in the Residential District of Metroporitan Tokyo

    HIDANO Noboru, YAMAMURA Yoshiro, DOI Yasusuke

    City planning review   49 ( 1 )   56 - 66   2000.4

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  • 瀬戸大橋の整備便益の計測

    井原 健雄, 山村 能郎

    高速道路と自動車   41 ( 3 )   46 - 53   1998.3

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  • 首都圏における農地および林地の地価動向に関する研究

    肥田野 登, 山村 能郎, 増井 潔

    季刊日本不動産学会誌   12 ( 1 )   32 - 42   1997.5

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    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.12.32

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  • An Empirical Study on the Land Price Changes in the Residential District of Metroporitan Tokyo

    Yamamura Yoshirou

    The Kagawa University economic review   69 ( 4 )   173 - 191   1997.3

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  • 首都圏における農地および林地の地価動向に関する研究

    肥田野 登, 山村 能郎, 増井 潔

    日本不動産学会誌   12 ( 1 )   32 - 42   1997

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    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.12.32

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  • An Empirical Study on the Land Price Changes in the Commercial District of Metropolitan Tokyo

    HIDANO Noboru, YAMAMURA Yoshirou, DOI Yasushi

    Papers on city planning   30   529 - 534   1995.11

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  • ネットワーク自己相関モデルを用いた首都圏における地価動向モデルの構築

    肥田野 登, 山村 能郎, 樋口 洋一郎

    日本不動産学会誌   9 ( 2 )   53 - 63   1994

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    DOI: 10.5736/jares1985.9.2_53

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  • 住宅地における容積率規制が地価の地域間波及に及ぼす影響 (1992年度〔日本都市計画学会〕学術研究論文集)

    肥田野 登, 山村 能郎

    都市計画論文集   ( 27 )   p127 - 132   1992.11

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  • The Measuring the Benefits of Interregional Transportation Improvement Projects: A Hedonic Approach.:A Hedonic Approach

    HIDANO Noboru, HAYASHIYAMA Yasuhisa, YAMAMURA Yoshiro

    Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshu   1992 ( 449 )   67 - 76   1992

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    The purpose of this paper is twofold i. e. to analyse the approximity of the estimation of the social benefits using cross-sectional hedonic model within the context of general equilibriui framework and to constract a multi-regional hedonic land value function in order to establish the method to estimate the social benefits of large infrastructure improvement projects. The study clarifies the limit of over estimation of cross-sectional analysis and demonstrats the applicability of the method with the case study of Tohoku-Shinkansen project.

    DOI: 10.2208/jscej.1992.449_67

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Presentations

  • Tenant Portfolio Selection for managing a shopping center: Optimal Tenant Replacement, Mixed Rent Rate, and Tenants’ Sales Correlation International conference

    Kariya, N., H., Takada and Y., Yamamura

    The 26th AsRES Annual Conference: 2022 AsRES-AREUEA Joint Conference  2022.8  AsRES, AREUEA

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    Event date: 2022.8

    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (general)  

    Venue:Tokyo Japan  

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  • 【公益社団法人日本不動産学会・春季全国大会シンポジウム】 第2次安倍政権発足以後の不動産市場のキーワードと変化 パネルディスカッション

    オーエン マイケル, 河西 利信, 立松 博史, 山村 能郎, 植松 丘

    日本不動産学会誌  2015  公益社団法人 日本不動産学会

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    Event date: 2015

    Language:Japanese  

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  • Geographical marketing of social action program for the university using GIS tool

    Shuichi Sato and Yoshiro Yamamura

    2020.10  GIS Association Japan of Japan

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Poster presentation  

    The social action programs of electronic workshop are conducted for students in our optical materials laboratory, in the Department of Electronic Engineering, Tokyo Denki University. It is effective for a university to carry out social activities in areas where the number and rates of university entrance students are substantial. Since it is important to hold workshops in the vicinity of the university, we analyzed the area market potentials of Tokyo Denki University for the social action programs using GIS tool. The number and rate of university entrance students in Adachi-ku, the ward in which Tokyo Denki University is located, and its surrounding area, currently remain modest. However, both parameters at Adachi-ku are increased based on our multiple regression model and random forest regression model using urban data in Kanto municipalities. Based on the models, we should actively hold the social action programs in Adachi area.

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  • Empirical Credit Risk Ratings of Individual Corporate Bonds and Derivation of Term Structures of Default Probabilities

    刈屋武昭, 乾孝治

    2019年度統計関連学会連合大会  2019.9  応用統計学会 日本計算機統計学会 (一社)日本計量生物学会 日本行動計量学会 (一社)日本統計学会 日本分類学会

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    Venue:滋賀大学  

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  • Family Business Courses at Meiji Business School Invited

    Yoshiro Yamamura

    FAMILY BUSINES ASIA PACIFIC SYMPOSIUM 2019  2019.4  Asia Institute of Management

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    Language:English   Presentation type:Oral presentation (invited, special)  

    Venue:Manila, Phillipine  

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  • Dynamics of Commercial Real Estate Market in Tokyo Invited International conference

    Yoshiro Yamamura and Yoko Tanokura

    ICMMA 2018 "Data Science, Time Series Modeling and Applications"  2019.2  Center for Mathematics Modeling and Applications, Meiji University

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    Venue:Tokyo  

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  • 戸建空き家の活用に向けた住宅価値創出に関する考察

    星野将史

    2018年度日本建築学会大会学術講演会  2018.9  日本建築学会

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    Venue:東北大学  

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  • 第2次安倍政権発足以後の不動産市場のキーワードと変化 Invited

    日本不動産学会2015年度春期全国大会  2015.5  日本不動産学会

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    Language:Japanese   Presentation type:Symposium, workshop panel (public)  

    Venue:東京,すまい・るホール  

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  • Empirical Credit Risk Analysis on Euro Government Bonds-Term Structures of Default Probabilities International conference

    Takekai Kairy, Yoko Tanokura, Zhu Wang

    The Quantitative Methods in Finance 2014 Conference(QMF2014)  2014.12  University of Technology Sydney

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  • Market-Rating Migration and Transition Analysis

    2014年度統計関連学会連合大会  2014.9  日本統計学会,応用統計学会,日本計算機統計学会,日本行動計量学会,日本計量生物学会,日本分類学会

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    Venue:東京大学  

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  • Measuring Credit Risk of Individual Corporate Bonds in US Energy Sector

    刈屋武昭,田野倉葉子,高田英昭

    2014年度統計関連学会連合大会  2014.9  日本統計学会,応用統計学会,日本計算機統計学会,日本行動計量学会,日本計量生物学会,日本分類学会

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    Venue:東京大学  

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  • Empirical Credit Risk Analysis on Euro Government Bonds-Term Structures of Default Probabilities International conference

    Takeaki Kariya, Yoko Tanokura, Zhu Wang

    Stochastic Modeling Techniques and Data Analysis International Conference (SMTDA2014)  2014.6  SMTDA

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    Venue:Lisbon, Portugal  

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  • Credit Risk Analysis on Euro Government Bonds– Term Structures of Default Probabilities–

    Takeaki Kariya, Yoko Tanokura, Zhu Wang

    International Conference on Finance and Financial Econometrics & Engineering  2014.3  明治大学・京都大学

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  • Empirical Credit Risk Analysis on Euro Government Bonds

    Takeaki Kariya, Yoko Tanokura, Zhu Wang

    シンポジウム「統計科学の新展開」(科学研究費・基盤研究(A)「非対称・非線形統計理論と経済・生体科学 への応用」)  2013.11  金沢大学

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  • Empirical Credit Risk Analysis on Euro Government Bonds

    Takeaki Kariya, Yoko Tanokura, Zhu Wang

    NUS-UTokyo Workshop on Quantitative Finance  2013.9  Centre for Quantitative Finance, Faculty of Science, National University of Singapore

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  • ユーロ各国債の信用リスク分析

    刈屋武昭,田野倉葉子,乾孝治,王竹

    第39回 2013年度夏期JAFEE大会  2013.8  日本金融・証券計量・工学学会

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  • 時系列相関を考慮した債券価格モデルと国債価格予測への応用

    神薗健次,刈屋武昭

    明治大学科学研究費基盤研究(A)金融リスクコンファランス(II)『金融リスクの分析モデルの高度化とリスクマネジメントへの応用―信用リスクと金利リスクー』  2013.3  明治大学金融リスク研究会(於明治大学お茶の水キャンパス)

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  • 欧州国債モデルと金利の期間構造の比較

    刈屋武昭,乾孝治,王竹

    明治大学科学研究費基盤研究(A)金融リスクコンファランス(II)『金融リスクの分析モデルの高度化とリスクマネジメントへの応用―信用リスクと金利リスクー』  2013.3  明治大学金融リスク研究会(於明治大学お茶の水キャンパス)

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  • ユーロ各国債の信用リスク分析-対独比相対倒産確率の期間構造の導出

    刈屋武昭,乾孝治,田野倉葉子,王竹

    明治大学科学研究費基盤研究(A)金融リスクコンファランス(II)『金融リスクの分析モデルの高度化とリスクマネジメントへの応用―信用リスクと金利リスクー』  2013.3  明治大学金融リスク研究会(於明治大学お茶の水キャンパス)

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  • Measuring Credit Risk of Individual Corporate Bonds and Deriving Term Structures of Default Probabilities

    刈屋武昭,乾孝治,王竹

    2012年度日本金融・証券計量・工学学会(JAFEE)2012冬期大会  2013.1  日本金融・証券計量・工学学会(於筑波大学東京キャンパス文京校舎)

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  • Measuring Credit Risk of Individual Corporate Bonds and Deriving Term Structures of Default Probabilities

    Takeaki Kariya, Koji Inui, Zhu Wang

    2012年度関西計量経済学研究会(共催:日本学術会議「数量的経済・政策分析分科会」)  2013.1  関西計量経済学研究会(於一橋大学佐野書院)

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  • Measuring CB Credit Risk Spreads and Deriving Term Structure of Default Probabilities-Market Approach

    Takeaki Kariya, Koji Inui, Zhu Wang

    National University of Singapore RMI Workshop  2012.11  Risk Management Institute, National University of Singapore

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  • 実証的に有効なJGB価格付けモデルと金融危機時の金利の期間構造分析

    刈屋武昭,王京穂,王竹,土居英一

    2012年度日本応用経済学会秋季大会  2012.11  日本応用経済学会(於明海大学浦安キャンパス)

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  • 米国国債モデルと金利の期間構造

    刈屋武昭, 王竹

    「統計科学における深化と横断的展開」科研費シンポジウム(基盤研究(A)「非対称・非線形統計理論と経済・生体科学への応用」)  2012.10  島根大学(於松江テルサ)

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  • 個別企業の信用価格スプレッドと倒産確率の導出

    刈屋武昭,乾孝治,王竹

    科学研究費シンポジウム「統計推測理論の展開と諸モデルへの応用」(基盤研究(A)「非対称・非線形統計理論と経済・生体科学への応用」)  2012.10  北海道大学,北海道教育大学(於釧路市生涯学習センター)

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  • 信用リスク社債価格スプレッドの分析―業種・格付けと信用構造

    刈屋武昭,乾孝治,王竹

    2012年度統計関連学会連合大会  2012.9  日本統計学会他(於北海道大学)

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  • Empirically Effective Bond Pricing Model and Analysis on the Term Structure of Interest Rates in financial Crisis

    Takeaki Kariya, Jingsui Wang, Zhu Wang, Eiichi Doi

    Bachelier Finance Society 7th World Congress  2012.6  Bachelier Finance Society(Hilton Sydney Hotel)

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  • 米国債モデルと金利の期間構造

    刈屋武昭, 王竹

    『金融リスクの分析モデルの高度化とリスクマネジメントへの応用 ―信用リスクと金利リスクー』明治大学科学研究費基盤研究(A)金融リスクコンファランス  2012.3  明治大学科研基盤(A)金融リスク研究グループ(代表刈屋武昭)

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  • Empirically Effective Bond Pricing Model and Analysis on Term Structures of Implied Interest Rates in Financial Crisis

    刈屋武昭,王京穂,王竹,土居英一

    2011年度日本金融・証券計量・工学学会夏季大会  2011.10  日本金融・証券計量・工学学会(於慶應義塾大学)

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  • Empirically Effective Bond Pricing Model and Analysis on Term Structures of Implied Interest Rates in Financial Crisis

    刈屋武昭,王京穂,王竹,土居英一

    2011年度統計学会連合大会  2011.9  日本統計学会他(於九州大学)

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  • TAREAインデックス

    杉浦綾子他4名

    日本不動産学会学術講演会  2010.11  日本不動産学会

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  • Transaction-Based Land Price Indices for Commercial and Office Land During the Bubble Period in Japan

    Noboru Hidano

    The 10th European Real Estate Society Conference in Helsinki  2003.6 

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  • Real Price Change Compared to official Assessed Data During the So-called Bubble Economy Period in Tokyo

    Noboru Hidano

    International Conference on Asian European Real Estate Crisis and Their Management  2001  The Maison Franco-Japonaise Tokyo

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  • 市場価格データに基づく地価変動指数の有効性の検討

    平成9年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会 施:中京大学

    平成9年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会  1997.11 

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  • 市場価格データに基づく地価変動指数の提案

    平成8年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会 施:東京理科大学

    平成8年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会  1996.11 

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  • 市場価格データを用いた商業・業務地における地価動向分析

    平成7年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会 施:徳島大学

    平成7年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会  1995.11 

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  • 都市基盤整備によるアナウンスメント効果の計測

    平成6年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会 施:東京大学

    平成6年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会  1994.12 

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  • 鉄道整備に伴う地価上昇のアナウンスメント効果の計測

    土木学会第49回年次学術講演会 施:北海道大学

    土木学会第49回年次学術講演会  1994.9 

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  • 地価変動に着目した首都圏の土地市場セグメントの抽出とその関連

    平成4年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会 施:明海大学

    平成4年度日本不動産学会秋期全国大会  1992.11 

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  • 都市間交通施設整備の効果計測のための地価関数推定

    土木学会第46回年次学術講演会 施:関西大学

    土木学会第46回年次学術講演会  1991.9 

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Awards

  • JAFEE論文賞

    2016.1   日本金融・証券計量・工学学会   Credit Risk Analysis on Euro Government Bonds-Term Structures of Default Probabilities

    Takeaki Kariya, Yoko Tanokura, Zhu Wang

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    Award type:Award from Japanese society, conference, symposium, etc.  Country/Region:Japan

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Research Projects

  • Real Estate Market Cycles and Optimal Timing for Investment

    Grant number:21K01510  2021.4 - 2025.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (C)

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

    Grant amount:\5120000 ( Direct Cost: \4160000 、 Indirect Cost:\960000 )

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  • Business Cycle in Real Estate Market

    Grant number:18K01587  2018.4 - 2022.3

    JSPS 

    Yoshiro Yamamura

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    Grant amount:\4290000 ( Direct Cost: \3300000 、 Indirect Cost:\990000 )

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  • 不動産市場及び関連金融市場におけるインデックス構築に関する研究

    Grant number:15K03471  2015.4 - 2018.3

    日本学術振興会  基盤研究(C) 

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

    Grant amount:\4550000 ( Direct Cost: \3500000 、 Indirect Cost:\1050000 )

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  • 不動産開発の最適時点に関する研究

    2012.4 - 2015.3

    基盤研究 (C) 

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

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  • 金融リスクの分析モデルの高度化とリスクマネジメントへの応用

    2011.4 - 2014.3

    基盤研究 (A) 

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    Authorship:Coinvestigator(s) 

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  • Studies on Real Estate Price Incorporating Uncertainty and Spatial Economies

    Grant number:16330041  2004.4 - 2007.3

    Japan Society for the Promotion of Science  Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research  Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B)

    NAKAMURA Ryohei, HIDANO Noboru, YAMAMURA Yosiro, TAKATSUKA Hajime

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    Nakamura has empirically verified pricing mechanism during pre-bubble, mid-bubble, and post-bubble period using real estate market data. Also, he conducted the office rent analysis at the central district in Osaka using time series and cross sectional data. Office rent is still experiencing a downward trend almost fifteen years after the bubble burst. This paper constructs office price index using individual office data from 1985 to 2004, and implements Granger test by autoregressive model in order to make clear causality.
    The purpose of the project by Hidano is threefold : 1) to show the upper ranges of overestimation ratios of hedonic measures in cross sectional capitalization hypothesis, 2) to develop a method to identify the minimum generalized cost route in very complicated railway system in Tokyo and 3) to test the efficiency hypothesis of housing market in Tokyo. We found reasonable results of these three questions.
    Yamamura investigated the differences between the appraisal price of land and the land price estimated by actual transaction. A hedonic approach is employed for estimating actual price at the appraisal land. It is shown that there exist sparse differences among those prices.
    The aim of Takatsuka (2006) is to verify the policy importance of activation of urban cores in terms of urban economics. Specifically, using a model of economy with service quality (Kobayashi et al., 1990) and UEA (Urban Employment Area) based data, we have test the relationship between urban densities and activity of twelve service industries. The results are as follows: We can see significantly positive relationship only for technical services (including teaching services), restaurants and bars. We guess the reason is that these industries are knowledge-intensive and have various externality effects, including firm-to-firm externalities and consumer-to-firm externalities. To activate urban cores and urban economy, we have to consider these characteristics of service industries.

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  • 商業業務地における不動産インデックスに関する研究

    Grant number:15730138  2003.4 - 2006.3

    日本学術振興会  若手研究 (B)  若手研究(B)

    山村 能郎

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

    本年度の研究実績の概要は以下のとおり.
    (1)賃料インデックスの算出
    昨年度までの成果をもとに賃料インデックス精緻化を図った.本研究で使用している不動産価格データは実売買の取引データであるため時点によって,サンプルの分布が異なることが予想される.サンプルにおける価格分布および空間的分布に偏りが存在し,データにバイアスが内在する場合,取引データを使用したヘドニックインデックスにもバイアスが含まれることになる.これは,sample selection biasとして,先行研究でも指摘されているものである.sample selection biasの除去方法としては,労働市場における賃料分析でHeckman(1979)が行ったプロビットモデルによる方法がある.本研究では,この方法を適用して取引事例データから不動産購入選択モデル推定し,その結果を利用したヘドニックモデルの再推定を行っている.その結果,本研究の対象期間である80年代以降では,バブル期の80年代後半から90年代初頭の時期において,取引事例データを利用したヘドニックインデックスにはsample selection biasが含まれる可能性があることが実証された.また,同じくHeckman(1979)の方法を利用してbiasを除去したインデックスを作成している.さらに,本研究で提案したインデックスと既存のインデックスとの比較を行っている.
    (2)研究成果の報告
    以上の研究成果について,アメリカ不動産学会の機関紙であるReal Estate Economicsに投稿中である.

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  • 地価抑制策が土地市場の効率性に及ぼす影響

    Grant number:12730036  2000.4 - 2002.3

    日本学術振興会  奨励研究  奨励研究(A)

    山村 能郎

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    Authorship:Principal investigator 

    平成13年度は昨年度の研究成果をもとに,土地資産市場および土地賃貸市場における主体行動を定式化した理論モデルの一般化を行う.第二にこの理論モデルをもとにパラメータの特定化した上で,数値解析を行い,市場に歪みをもたらすと言われている地価抑制策について,市場に対する中立性,効率性の観点からその歪みがどの程度発生しているかについて定量的な分析を試みている.
    1.昨年度は,土地資産市場,土地賃貸市場,その他の財市場の中で世帯,企業,デベロッパー,金融機関等の行動に関して線形対数型の効用関数,生産関数を仮定し,静学的な一般均衡モデルを構築したが,本年度はより一般的なCES型の効用関数,生産関数を仮定したモデルを構築している.
    さらに,監視区域制度,総量規制等の地価抑制策に関する政策変数を内包できるようモデル改良を試みる.
    2.作成した理論モデルをもとに,各関数のパラメータを特定化した上で,数値解析を実施するために,供給を固定した上で,東京圏を対象に土地資産市場,土地賃貸市場における需要関数を推定している.これについては,推定パラメータの一部が統計的有意性の条件を満たしていない可能性があるため,今後のより詳細な分析を行う必要があると考えられる.
    3.各関数のパラメータを特定化し,数値解析を行っている.ここでは,監視区域制度の影響を分析するために,土地資産市場の価格そのものを凍結した場合,土地資産市場,土地賃貸市場の効率性がどの程度阻害されているかについて,等価的偏差を用いてその影響を測定している.さらに,総量規制についても不動産業向けの融資残高の伸びが一定水準を超えると発動されるため,融資残高を固定した場合についての効率性への影響を同様に分析している.

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  • 市場価格データを用いた地価動向指数の提案と有効性の検討

    Grant number:09730036  1997.4 - 1999.3

    日本学術振興会  奨励研究  奨励研究(A)

    山村 能郎

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    平成10年度は,平成9年度の研究成果から得られた知見をもとに東京都心部商業業務地と同様な方法を用いて,東京近郊部住宅地を対象に,短期的な地価予測が可能な地価動向指数を作成し,その有効性に関する検討を行った.具体的な内容は以下のとおりである.
    1. 平成9年度に引き続き,東京近郊部住宅地を対象に取引事例を収集し,実勢価格での地価動向分析を試みた.対象地域は東京都世田谷区で,半期ベースで期間別にクロスセクション地価関数を推定し,これを用いた定点地価データを作成した.この結果,住宅地においても市場価格に基づく定点地価の動向を分析することが可能となった.
    2. 1.で作成した東京近郊部住宅地における定点地価データをもとに,都心商業業務地と同様に短期予測可能な地価変動指数を作成し,その有効性に関する検討を行った.具体的には地図情報,交通ネットワーク等の変化による地点属性要因,経済成長および将来の予想地価の変化等の社会経済要因,土地税制,監視区域制度,総量規制等の制度的要因に着目した地価変動指数を提案している.本研究の指数は従来の予測指数と比較して,予測精度が高く,また,市場価格を対象としている点,地点ベースでの予測が可能な点,地点属性の変化と社会経済変動による変化を明確に分離して把握できる点などからより有効な予測方法であることを示している.

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